RESULTS: KY | VA | MS| NJ
9:19PM: This thread is getting too crowded, so we’re continuing all our race coverage over in this one. Stay with us.
8:59PM: In the state of Mississippi, there is now a grand total of 152 votes counted. Eaves (D) is up by 84% to 16% for Barbour (R-inc). Don’t rush them. (Results here.)
8:50PM: In New Jersey, Jeff Van Drew (D) is leading by 55%-45% against Republican incumbent state Sen. Nick Asselta with 18/204 precincts reporting. Sweet deal. If Van Drew pulls this off, the DCCC will be knocking on his door to take on Rep. Lobiondo in 2008.
8:45PM: We need four pick-ups to win the Virginia Senate. So far, we’re up by 50.86%-48.70% in SD01 with 81% in; up by 52.51%-47.46% in SD06 with 53% in; leading huge (60%-40%) in SD34 against the odious Devolites-Davis with 21% in; and leading by 51.89%-47.51% in SD37 with 5% in. Democrats are trailing closely in a number of other Senate races.
8:29PM: With Kentucky pretty much a done deal, here are the Virginia Senate races to watch, courtesy of MyDD (* denotes incumbent):
District 1: John C. Miller (D), Patricia B. “Tricia” Stall (R)
District 6: Ralph S. Northam (D), D. Nick Rerras* (R)
District 27: Donald C. Marro (I), Karen Schultz (D), Jill Holtzman Vogel (R)
District 29: Charles J. Colgan* (D), Robert Fitzsimmonds (R)
District 28: Albert Pollard (D), Richard Stuart (R)
District 33: Mark R. Herring* (D), Patricia B. Phillips (R)
District 34: Jeannemarie Devolites Davis* (R), J.C. “Chap” Petersen (D)
District 37: Ken, II Cuccinelli* (R), Janet S. Oleszek (D)
District 39: George L. Barker (D), J.K. “Jay” O’Brien, Jr.* (R)
8:20PM: DitchMitchKY has got an interesting map of Kentucky returns. 60.4% Beshear with 64% of precincts reporting.
8:12PM: Beshear’s at 60.7% with 56.1% of precincts in.
8:08PM: Local TV is calling the Governor’s race for Democrat Steve Beshear and the SoS office for incumbent Republican Trey Grayson.
8:04PM: With 49.8% of precincts reporting, Beshear is back at 60.2%.
7:59PM: Republican Incumbent Nick Rerras in Norfolk is losing to Democrat Ralph S. Northam by 53.50%-46.46% with 22% reporting in VA-SD06.
7:58PM: It’s tight, but so far, so good in VA-SD01. Democrat John Miller leads Republican Tricia Stall by 50.77%-48.95% with 38.09% of precincts reporting. This is a Republican-held open seat.
7:51PM: 45.8% of precincts are reporting in Kentucky, and Beshear is leading by 59.8%-40.2%. I hope our guy can get back above 60%, but a blowout is still a blowout.
7:43PM: Here’s one Virginia race that I’ll be watching closely: SD34, where the odious Jeannemarie Devolites-Davis (the wife of Congressman Tom Davis) is facing off with Chap Petersen (D). With 2 of 47 precincts reporting, Chap is leading by a 63%-37% margin. Not exactly a mandate yet, but let’s hope he can ride to victory. Results here.
7:35PM: It looks like Trey Grayson will be the one bright spot for the KY GOP, as he’s clinging to an 11 point lead with 35% of precincts reporting — well ahead of Fletcher.
7:33PM: From the Bluegrass Report:
Forgy is on KET right now, blaming Republicans for Fletcher’s situation, complaining that $5 million was spent in the primary against the governor. Called the party “fractured” and that Fletcher couldn’t get back the element that Mitch McConnell and Steve Pence took out. Says it’s up to the “Louisville faction” to “create the unity” and putting party back together. When asked if Forgy is going to challenge McConnell he refused to say but said he was “very angry” and so were others at the GOP Election Night event.
7:20PM: With 27.3% of precincts reporting, Beshear continues to cruise by a 62.3%-37.7% margin.
7:16PM: Keep an eye on the Virginia results; polls closed there 15 minutes ago.
7:12PM: With 20% of precincts reporting, Beshear is leading Fletcher by 63.9% to 36.1%.
7:03PM: Some news from the OH-05 special primary — I just received word that Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner is keeping the polls open in Putnam County until 9pm, so the results will be a bit delayed in this race.
6:58PM: To give you a sense of how badly Fletcher is doing, check out the results in Owsley County. In 2003, Fletcher crushed Ben Chandler (D) by a 33% margin in the county. Beshear won the county by 5 votes tonight.
6:53PM EST: Here we go. With 12.7% precincts reporting, Steve Beshear is crushing Ernie Fletcher by 64.2%-35.8% in the Kentucky Governor’s race. Trey Grayson (R), is holding on to the Secretary of State office against his unknown Democratic opponent by a 54.2%-45.8% margin.
Results are starting to trickle in from Kentucky, with Beshear/Mongiardo up by a 64-36 margin in the early reports.
I’m going to go grab a quick bite to eat, but we’ll be back soon to liveblog tonight’s local elections.
Now’s your last chance to post predictions in the comments!
With 9.4% reporting, Beshear continues to lead 64-36.
In the Sec of State race, with 8.7% in, the Republican incumbent Grayson leads the Dem challenger Hendrickson 55.5%-44.5%. This is the only race that was expected to be close. It looks like a lot of ticket splitting going on.
Beshear’s lead is staying very stable. Lead is now 64.5%-35.5%. Makes me a proud of my former state.
In S of S race, Grayson (R) leads 54.1%-45.9%
35.5% poverty rate.
69.3% of households made under $25,000 in 1999.
48.3% of households made under $15,000 in 1999.
32.5% of households made under $10,000 in 1999.
By contrast, in Kentucky as a whole
37.7% of households made under $25,000 in 1999.
22.3% of households made under $15,000 in 1999.
8.4% of households made under $10,000 in 1999.
I think you’d be hard-pressed to find a poorer county than Owsley anywhere in the country (if there is one, it’s probably in that region). I think I’ll do some checking.
With 19% counted, Beshear leads by 28.6%.
From http://www.bluegrass… a comparison with 2003:
* Beshear +20 in Shelby County — Fletcher +20 in 2003
* Beshear +7 in Campbell County — Fletcher +26 in 2003
Looks like it is getting time to watch Virginia.
….that it’s this big of a blowout. I was anticipating 57-43. It may yet turn out to be that way once southern Kentucky numbers start pouring in. Still, I’ve become a believer regarding the GOP’s brand problems in Kentucky. It’s still hard to imagine the tide has turned that much in three years.
The main KY-SOS board doesn’t have a link to individual county totals…at least none that I can find.
As I’ve watched the numbers come in Fletcher and Trey Grayson has been going up. Trey Grayson will win for sure. Fletcher will still lose but maybe not by 20+
….I see Beshear’s even winning by double digits in Campbell County in the southeastern suburbs of Cincinnati. This is 2-1 Bush country.
Or just religious fundamentalism holding us down in Owsley? Only one county to its east is Breathitt County, the fourth most Democratic county in Kentucky. Things change fast west of Hazard.
I don’t know where you found your stats, but check this county. Fletcher still won this year by 15%. I expect its poverty stats are just as bad.
Southern New Mexico, rural West Texas, Appalachia, the Mississippi Delta, the Black Belt of the Deep South, and the constellation of Indian Reservations in the Mountain West. I’m gonna guess that those compete for the poorest places in America.
Politics sucks.
District 1:
51D-49R (with 74% in)
District 6:
52D-48R (with 41% in)
District 22:
50D-49R (with 32% in)
District 34:
62D-38R (with 11% in)
Dems are trailing in District 27, 28, 37 and 39, but all are still fairly close.
A pickup of 4 seats is necessary for the Democrats to take over the State Senate.